Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.467681 12.861879 14.432913 16.349686 18.646249 21.336749 24.768364
2025-04-27 9.851626 11.663097 13.872772 16.820306 20.735054 25.888281 33.426019
2025-05-04 8.518417 10.411597 12.833849 16.250907 21.106985 28.037235 39.256936
2025-05-11 7.900927 9.929972 12.638352 16.659569 22.752388 32.170564 49.126120
2025-05-18 7.230089 9.275441 12.093161 16.443555 23.376544 34.817999 57.395810
2025-05-25 6.692748 8.736545 11.629070 16.249758 23.953435 37.458849 66.590408
2025-06-01 6.279507 8.326767 11.296266 16.192296 24.712446 40.560616 78.022290
2025-06-08 5.838957 7.836078 10.788213 15.777534 24.762266 42.307641 87.175372
2025-06-15 5.546562 7.538571 10.542981 15.757829 25.508219 45.622733 102.065943
2025-06-22 5.146949 7.049921 9.955820 15.084170 24.903682 45.894388 108.610335
2025-06-29 4.776534 6.582970 9.368825 14.351375 24.077927 45.490200 112.979273
2025-07-06 4.499295 6.243877 8.964415 13.904398 23.764074 46.226428 121.728773
2025-07-13 4.577023 6.473472 9.523242 15.301914 27.594624 58.609888 186.652990
2025-07-20 4.470816 6.401560 9.569604 15.745242 29.469323 66.727798 247.692698
2025-07-27 4.217670 6.074063 9.149163 15.225356 29.017820 67.856386 273.566407
2025-08-03 4.124912 6.004530 9.173764 15.597981 30.785278 76.747589 369.135847
2025-08-10 3.955355 5.796315 8.935005 15.401081 31.092984 80.912986 442.662920
2025-08-17 3.801927 5.606907 8.716951 15.224353 31.424343 85.375870 536.780803
2025-08-24 3.676785 5.458964 8.564502 15.171936 32.084425 91.503110 681.956999
2025-08-31 3.517785 5.244941 8.275968 14.793389 31.774893 93.563061 786.926770
2025-09-07 3.415277 5.124075 8.154675 14.775396 32.498455 100.593009 1038.971075
2025-09-14 3.245553 4.878428 7.783421 14.159743 31.367477 98.591209 1089.488266
2025-09-21 3.078242 4.631393 7.399049 13.488914 29.993561 95.039087 1089.448361